Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 300.148477 340.635876 385.959797 440.720226 505.436385 579.908262 672.705624
2025-01-19 229.109895 278.643852 339.147441 419.447373 524.678705 659.962296 850.486051
2025-01-26 204.789488 261.284599 334.652586 438.889496 586.488563 793.294851 1114.914474
2025-02-02 190.150926 252.255670 337.086246 464.739178 658.035346 950.483275 1448.974287
2025-02-09 171.849750 234.952913 324.612228 465.846664 691.699897 1056.007524 1728.021712
2025-02-16 153.974602 215.675693 306.187013 454.232855 702.049451 1124.305136 1959.248243
2025-02-23 139.951995 200.277058 291.320450 445.379871 714.289991 1196.543688 2215.700341
2025-03-02 132.473779 193.810858 289.154345 456.358735 761.567595 1340.284321 2657.658136
2025-03-09 123.719822 184.386223 281.063294 455.857100 787.529426 1448.127316 3056.608919
2025-03-16 114.401583 173.154741 268.758946 446.142700 794.124968 1517.616132 3388.462173
2025-03-23 108.077622 166.209834 262.872129 447.137707 821.589192 1636.905040 3889.481740
2025-03-30 100.725504 156.924852 252.040833 437.452536 825.482890 1704.076184 4274.785479
2025-04-06 94.996354 150.118846 245.247886 435.343183 846.544615 1820.074655 4865.599877
2025-04-13 87.062699 138.951381 229.728250 414.326753 823.145481 1822.695249 5107.599100
2025-04-20 85.397280 138.600101 233.859444 433.476211 893.987937 2085.677644 6367.003132
2025-04-27 84.562188 139.626291 240.603434 458.928822 984.848573 2431.844824 8174.669996
2025-05-04 80.860769 135.126565 236.321414 460.019185 1015.846773 2615.191583 9457.510134
2025-05-11 76.085018 128.298471 226.905380 448.584498 1012.658349 2693.311292 10326.981533
2025-05-18 71.997558 122.496197 219.070678 439.867332 1015.335149 2792.043858 11381.976069
2025-05-25 70.208231 120.933126 219.641898 450.677670 1073.517595 3096.825441 13818.964312
2025-06-01 67.444715 117.300539 215.654518 450.183756 1099.787321 3299.281023 15887.950773
2025-06-08 64.050001 112.225337 208.270355 440.618483 1097.930288 3397.673695 17408.303597
2025-06-15 61.828924 109.330890 205.277951 441.598250 1128.156299 3632.630735 20187.869515